Saturday, January 07, 2012

The Loyal Opposition to Romney: "Electable"?

Prof Jacobson carries the load.

...President Obama has opened up a six-point lead over former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney in a hypothetical Election 2012 matchup. This is the widest gap between the two men since mid-August. (dated 11/25)

...Romney’s electoral record becomes even more underwhelming when you examine the particulars. He first attracted national notice in 1994 when he mounted what was considered a strong challenge to incumbent senator Ted Kennedy. But when it came time to vote, Romney lost by 17 points in what turned out to be the best year for Republicans in more than half a century....[And on winning Mass-Gov.]:  Romney was actually the fourth in a string of Republican governors who ran the state from 1990 until 2006. Of that group, Romney received the lowest percentage of the vote, failing to break the 50-percent mark in his 2002 victory. He took home a smaller share of the vote even than Paul Cellucci, the political nonentity who won the 1998 election. After three years in office, Romney’s approval rating was so low that he was forced to abandon hope of reelection. Romney’s term concluded with a Democrat winning the governor’s office for the first time in 20 years….(dated 12/12)

...When contemplating the places on the map where Romney would provide the GOP with the greatest electoral advantages, the answer would seem to be in the Northeast and on the Pacific Coast. But none of the states in those regions, save New Hampshire, would be up for grabs in a close race. Instead, Romney would merely succeed in helping the party lose the likes of California, Oregon, Washington, New York, Connecticut, and Massachusetts, by more respectable margins.  (post dated 1/1)

It's not a given that Romney "will lose" the East and West Coasts.

But it is also not a given that Romney--who has yet to be assaulted by other (R) candidates--would win the heartland.

Reagan did not win because he was shy about principles.  Nor did Walker.

1 comment:

neomom said...

Romney moved MA to the left. I still haven't figured out how anyone can honestly believe he would move the country right.